Sporting Braga 1:1 Estoril Praia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Sporting Braga Home 0.41 xG

Estoril Praia Away 0.89 xG

11 Estoril Praia had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Sporting Braga Estoril Praia

Shots: 10; 10
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 7; 5
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.09

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sporting Braga

0.90 xG created 1.03 xGA

L 0.99 created, 1.19 conceded against FC Porto
W 1.31 created, 0.38 conceded against Moreirense
W 0.89 created, 1.11 conceded against FC Arouca
D 1.59 created, 0.46 conceded against Famalicão
W 0.47 created, 0.48 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.15 created, 2.55 conceded against Santa Clara

Estoril Praia

0.80 xG created 1.51 xGA

W 1.12 created, 0.80 conceded against CD Nacional
L 1.15 created, 1.65 conceded against Rio Ave
L 1.12 created, 1.98 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.39 created, 2.69 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.35 created, 0.86 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.66 created, 1.05 conceded against Famalicão

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Sporting Braga: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Estoril Praia 1:0 Sporting Braga 19/12/2025 xG 2.13 – 2.19

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.