CD Nacional 0:1 Estoril Praia: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Sunday, 15/03/2026 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 0.80 xG

Estoril Praia Away 1.12 xG

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

CD Nacional Estoril Praia

Shots: 16; 11
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.10

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

1.04 xG created 1.36 xGA

L 1.32 created, 1.74 conceded against Sporting
D 0.98 created, 0.64 conceded against Casa Pia
L 0.65 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.99 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.96 created, 2.48 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 1.35 created, 0.94 conceded against Moreirense

Estoril Praia

1.26 xG created 1.79 xGA

W 2.32 created, 2.20 conceded against Santa Clara
D 0.71 created, 1.35 conceded against Tondela
L 1.08 created, 1.02 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
W 2.18 created, 2.42 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.62 created, 2.26 conceded against Sporting
D 0.65 created, 1.47 conceded against Casa Pia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CD Nacional: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Estoril Praia 1:1 CD Nacional 26/10/2025 xG 1.76 – 1.20

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.