Paris FC 1:2 Nantes: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 24/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris FC Home 1.19 xG · 14 shots

Nantes Away 0.90 xG · 11 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

2' Youssef El Arabi Nantes · 0.04 xG chance 0–1
15' Samir Chergui Paris FC · 0.33 xG chance 1–1
38' Matthis Abline Nantes · 0.01 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Paris FC Nantes

Shots: 14; 11
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.68; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.51; 0.20
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.90 for Nantes.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 2.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris FC
Nantes
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris FC

1.62 xG created 1.72 xGA

W 3.21 created, 1.84 conceded against Metz
W 1.55 created, 2.57 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 1.60 created, 2.38 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 1.84 created, 0.96 conceded against Nice
W 1.02 created, 0.97 conceded against Lorient
L 0.52 created, 1.63 conceded against RC Lens

Nantes

0.90 xG created 1.68 xGA

W 0.48 created, 0.68 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.75 created, 1.75 conceded against Nice
D 2.11 created, 1.37 conceded against Stade Rennais
D 1.46 created, 2.15 conceded against Toulouse
D 0.15 created, 1.51 conceded against Stade Brestois
L 0.45 created, 2.60 conceded against Lille

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.