Nantes 1:2 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nantes Home 1.19 xG · 10 shots

RC Lens Away 2.30 xG · 20 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

34' Florian Thauvin RC Lens · 0.16 xG chance 0–1
38' Youssef El Arabi Nantes · 0.75 xG chance 1–1
81' Wesley Saïd RC Lens · 0.67 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Nantes RC Lens

Shots: 10; 20
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 5; 16
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.22; 1.59
Set-piece xG: 0.78; 0.76
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.99 for Nantes and 2.32 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 4.17 xG

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Nantes
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nantes

0.87 xG created 1.74 xGA

W 0.90 created, 1.19 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.62 created, 4.31 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.81 created, 1.34 conceded against Metz
D 0.21 created, 0.94 conceded against Le Havre
D 0.84 created, 0.32 conceded against Lorient
L 0.86 created, 2.35 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais

RC Lens

2.06 xG created 1.72 xGA

W 1.80 created, 0.66 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 1.32 created, 3.42 conceded against Metz
W 2.09 created, 1.82 conceded against Lorient
W 3.16 created, 2.83 conceded against AS Monaco
W 1.92 created, 0.46 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 2.05 created, 1.16 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.