Nice 1:1 Le Havre: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 17:15

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 2.11 xG · 15 shots

Le Havre Away 1.76 xG · 11 shots

11 Nice had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

41' Ally Samatta Le Havre · 0.18 xG chance 0–1
59' Ali Abdi Nice · 0.85 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Nice Le Havre

Shots: 15; 11
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 11; 9
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.19
Open play xG: 0.76; 1.91
Set-piece xG: 1.72; 0.14
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.49 for Nice and 2.08 for Le Havre.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 4.53 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
Le Havre
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

1.45 xG created 2.02 xGA

D 3.24 created, 2.24 conceded against Lorient
L 1.18 created, 1.20 conceded against Paris FC
L 2.15 created, 1.66 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.58 created, 1.02 conceded against Angers
L 0.24 created, 3.71 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.32 created, 2.26 conceded against RC Strasbourg

Le Havre

0.94 xG created 1.84 xGA

L 0.58 created, 1.32 conceded against Nantes
L 0.67 created, 3.88 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.94 created, 1.09 conceded against Stade Brestois
D 0.74 created, 1.10 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 2.18 created, 1.94 conceded against Paris FC
D 0.50 created, 1.70 conceded against Auxerre

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nice: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Le Havre 3:1 Nice 31/08/2025 xG 2.56 – 0.63

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.