Nice 1:1 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 21:05

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Match report · Ligue 1

Nice Home 1.07 xG · 9 shots

RC Lens Away 1.53 xG · 16 shots

11 RC Lens had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

60' Allan Saint-Maximin RC Lens · 0.51 xG chance 0–1
84' Ali Abdi Nice · 0.25 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Nice RC Lens

Shots: 9; 16
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 7; 6
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.07
Open play xG: 0.24; 1.01
Set-piece xG: 0.54; 0.10
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.79 for Nice and 1.09 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.89 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nice
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nice

0.98 xG created 1.93 xGA

W 1.58 created, 1.02 conceded against Angers
L 0.24 created, 3.71 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.32 created, 2.26 conceded against RC Strasbourg
D 2.11 created, 1.76 conceded against Le Havre
D 0.19 created, 0.54 conceded against Lille
D 1.46 created, 2.32 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

RC Lens

2.48 xG created 1.27 xGA

W 3.22 created, 0.40 conceded against Metz
L 1.34 created, 1.45 conceded against Lorient
W 3.19 created, 1.50 conceded against Angers
L 0.59 created, 3.63 conceded against Lille
W 3.76 created, 0.41 conceded against Toulouse
D 2.76 created, 0.25 conceded against Stade Brestois

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nice: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RC Lens 2:0 Nice 14/12/2025 xG 1.65 – 0.76

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.