Olympique de Marseille 1:0 AS Monaco: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 14/12/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille Home 1.79 xG · 18 shots

AS Monaco Away 2.21 xG · 18 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

82' Mason Greenwood Olympique de Marseille · 0.12 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Olympique de Marseille AS Monaco

Shots: 18; 18
On target: 8; 7
Inside the box: 12; 12
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.12
Open play xG: 1.76; 1.80
Set-piece xG: 0.07; 0.42
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.79 for Olympique de Marseille and 2.23 for AS Monaco.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 4.05 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Olympique de Marseille
AS Monaco
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Olympique de Marseille

1.75 xG created 0.86 xGA

D 1.33 created, 1.04 conceded against Angers
W 0.52 created, 1.17 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.46 created, 0.74 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.86 created, 1.19 conceded against Nice
D 1.80 created, 0.70 conceded against Toulouse
L 0.53 created, 0.35 conceded against Lille

AS Monaco

1.70 xG created 2.03 xGA

W 4.31 created, 1.62 conceded against Nantes
L 0.61 created, 0.85 conceded against Paris FC
L 2.83 created, 3.16 conceded against RC Lens
L 1.33 created, 3.69 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 0.52 created, 1.33 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
L 0.60 created, 1.53 conceded against Stade Brestois

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.