Lille 1:0 Olympique de Marseille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 05/12/2025 at 21:00

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Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 0.35 xG · 5 shots

Olympique de Marseille Away 0.53 xG · 6 shots

10 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

10' Ethan Mbappé Lille · 0.11 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Lille Olympique de Marseille

Shots: 5; 6
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 4; 3
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.33; 0.55
Set-piece xG: —; —
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.35 for Lille and 0.53 for Olympique de Marseille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

11 shots · 0.88 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
Olympique de Marseille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

1.98 xG created 1.20 xGA

W 2.92 created, 1.29 conceded against Metz
L 0.99 created, 1.77 conceded against Nice
W 2.04 created, 0.36 conceded against Angers
L 0.28 created, 1.07 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 4.03 created, 1.52 conceded against Paris FC
W 1.62 created, 1.18 conceded against Le Havre

Olympique de Marseille

1.77 xG created 1.11 xGA

L 0.66 created, 1.80 conceded against RC Lens
D 1.33 created, 1.04 conceded against Angers
W 0.52 created, 1.17 conceded against Auxerre
W 3.46 created, 0.74 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.86 created, 1.19 conceded against Nice
D 1.80 created, 0.70 conceded against Toulouse

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.