Olympique de Marseille 3:1 Stade Rennais: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Olympique de Marseille Home 2.92 xG · 27 shots

Stade Rennais Away 2.49 xG · 27 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

2' Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Olympique de Marseille · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
10' Amine Gouiri Olympique de Marseille · 0.38 xG chance 2–0
55' Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Olympique de Marseille · 0.27 xG chance 3–0
84' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.45 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Olympique de Marseille Stade Rennais

Shots: 27; 27
On target: 11; 6
Inside the box: 19; 20
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.10
Open play xG: 2.93; 2.32
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.25
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.08 for Olympique de Marseille and 2.56 for Stade Rennais.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

54 shots · 5.59 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Olympique de Marseille
Stade Rennais
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Olympique de Marseille

2.03 xG created 1.50 xGA

L 2.11 created, 1.17 conceded against AS Monaco
W 3.55 created, 0.48 conceded against Metz
L 1.65 created, 1.33 conceded against Lorient
D 2.32 created, 1.46 conceded against Nice
L 1.36 created, 3.42 conceded against Nantes
W 1.21 created, 1.14 conceded against Le Havre

Stade Rennais

2.05 xG created 1.65 xGA

W 2.89 created, 1.22 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 1.22 created, 1.12 conceded against Angers
W 4.25 created, 1.00 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 1.30 created, 2.17 conceded against Nantes
L 0.84 created, 3.17 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 1.77 created, 1.20 conceded against Paris FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Olympique de Marseille: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Stade Rennais 1:0 Olympique de Marseille 15/08/2025 xG 1.39 – 1.79

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.