AS Monaco 2:1 Olympique de Marseille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 05/04/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

AS Monaco Home 1.17 xG · 7 shots

Olympique de Marseille Away 2.11 xG · 19 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

59' Aleksandr Golovin AS Monaco · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
74' Folarin Balogun AS Monaco · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
85' Amine Gouiri Olympique de Marseille · 0.57 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

AS Monaco Olympique de Marseille

Shots: 7; 19
On target: 3; 9
Inside the box: 7; 12
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.11
Open play xG: 1.19; 1.48
Set-piece xG: 0.00; 0.65
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.18 for AS Monaco and 2.11 for Olympique de Marseille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.32 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

AS Monaco
Olympique de Marseille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AS Monaco

1.90 xG created 1.19 xGA

W 1.53 created, 0.93 conceded against Nantes
W 1.95 created, 1.60 conceded against RC Lens
W 1.51 created, 0.74 conceded against Angers
W 1.34 created, 1.09 conceded against Paris Saint-Germain
W 2.36 created, 1.41 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.68 created, 1.35 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais

Olympique de Marseille

1.24 xG created 1.09 xGA

D 1.43 created, 1.97 conceded against RC Strasbourg
L 1.42 created, 1.13 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.00 created, 1.20 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 1.09 created, 0.98 conceded against Toulouse
W 0.88 created, 0.31 conceded against Auxerre
L 0.61 created, 0.97 conceded against Lille

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AS Monaco: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Olympique de Marseille 1:0 AS Monaco 14/12/2025 xG 1.79 – 2.21

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.