Paris Saint-Germain 2:2 Lorient: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 17:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain Home 2.42 xG · 24 shots

Lorient Away 0.96 xG · 5 shots

22 Paris Saint-Germain had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

6' Ibrahim Mbaye Paris Saint-Germain · 0.35 xG chance 1–0
12' Pablo Pagis Lorient · 0.26 xG chance 1–1
62' Warren Zaïre-Emery Paris Saint-Germain · 0.01 xG chance 2–1
78' Aiyegun Tosin Lorient · 0.21 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Paris Saint-Germain Lorient

Shots: 24; 5
On target: 6; 3
Inside the box: 15; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.16
Open play xG: 1.49; 0.41
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.39
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.99 for Paris Saint-Germain and 0.79 for Lorient.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.78 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris Saint-Germain
Lorient
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris Saint-Germain

2.44 xG created 0.66 xGA

L 1.09 created, 1.34 conceded against AS Monaco
W 3.71 created, 0.24 conceded against Nice
W 1.79 created, 0.16 conceded against Toulouse
L 3.12 created, 0.62 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 2.17 created, 0.89 conceded against Nantes
W 2.78 created, 0.70 conceded against Angers

Lorient

1.42 xG created 1.28 xGA

W 1.45 created, 1.34 conceded against RC Lens
L 0.40 created, 1.15 conceded against Toulouse
D 1.18 created, 1.04 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.87 created, 1.16 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
W 1.33 created, 1.65 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
L 2.28 created, 1.34 conceded against RC Strasbourg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Lorient 1:1 Paris Saint-Germain 29/10/2025 xG 0.23 – 1.49

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.