Stade Rennais 3:1 Paris Saint-Germain: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Friday, 13/02/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Stade Rennais Home 1.36 xG · 13 shots

Paris Saint-Germain Away 3.62 xG · 22 shots

31 The result went against the chances

Goals

34' Mousa Tamari Stade Rennais · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
69' Esteban Lepaul Stade Rennais · 0.07 xG chance 2–0
71' Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint-Germain · 0.31 xG chance 2–1
81' Breel Embolo Stade Rennais · 0.89 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Stade Rennais Paris Saint-Germain

Shots: 13; 22
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 6; 18
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.17
Open play xG: 1.29; 3.31
Set-piece xG: 0.09; 0.40
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.34 for Stade Rennais and 3.70 for Paris Saint-Germain.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 5.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Stade Rennais
Paris Saint-Germain
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Stade Rennais

1.67 xG created 1.17 xGA

W 2.23 created, 0.82 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 1.57 created, 0.85 conceded against Lille
D 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Le Havre
L 1.83 created, 1.30 conceded against Lorient
L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against AS Monaco
L 1.38 created, 1.18 conceded against RC Lens

Paris Saint-Germain

2.05 xG created 1.00 xGA

W 1.85 created, 0.62 conceded against Metz
W 1.71 created, 1.01 conceded against Paris FC
W 1.40 created, 1.14 conceded against Lille
W 2.07 created, 0.30 conceded against Auxerre
W 1.13 created, 2.27 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 4.14 created, 0.66 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Stade Rennais: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Paris Saint-Germain 5:0 Stade Rennais 06/12/2025 xG 2.23 – 0.24

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.