Paris Saint-Germain 5:0 Olympique de Marseille: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 08/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Paris Saint-Germain Home 4.14 xG · 23 shots

Olympique de Marseille Away 0.66 xG · 9 shots

50 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

12' Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint-Germain · 0.33 xG chance 1–0
37' Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint-Germain · 0.21 xG chance 2–0
64' Facundo Medina (o.g.) Paris Saint-Germain · 0.10 xG chance 3–0
66' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Paris Saint-Germain · 0.06 xG chance 4–0
74' Kang-in Lee Paris Saint-Germain · 0.04 xG chance 5–0

The shots behind it

Paris Saint-Germain Olympique de Marseille

Shots: 23; 9
On target: 8; 3
Inside the box: 20; 5
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.08
Open play xG: 3.39; 0.68
Set-piece xG: 0.92; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Paris Saint-Germain's shots add up to 4.31 xG and Olympique de Marseille's to 0.68; the published figures are 4.14 and 0.66.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

32 shots · 4.99 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Paris Saint-Germain
Olympique de Marseille
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Paris Saint-Germain

1.73 xG created 0.93 xGA

W 2.23 created, 0.24 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 1.85 created, 0.62 conceded against Metz
W 1.71 created, 1.01 conceded against Paris FC
W 1.40 created, 1.14 conceded against Lille
W 2.07 created, 0.30 conceded against Auxerre
W 1.13 created, 2.27 conceded against RC Strasbourg

Olympique de Marseille

1.61 xG created 1.63 xGA

L 0.53 created, 0.35 conceded against Lille
W 1.79 created, 2.21 conceded against AS Monaco
L 0.75 created, 3.63 conceded against Nantes
W 3.28 created, 0.94 conceded against Angers
W 0.88 created, 0.91 conceded against RC Lens
D 2.41 created, 1.76 conceded against Paris FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Paris Saint-Germain: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Olympique de Marseille 1:0 Paris Saint-Germain 22/09/2025 xG 1.09 – 0.67

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.