xgEdge

Expected goals

Treaty United FC expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 3 matches · updated 5 Oct

Treaty United FC's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Treaty United FC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.13 xG per match
#8/12
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bohemian FC 1.38
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.31
#3 Shelbourne 1.29
#4 Galway United 1.28
#5 Derry City 1.25
#6 Shamrock Rovers 1.25
#7 Sligo Rovers 1.19
#8 Treaty United FC 1.13
#9 Waterford FC 1.04
#10 Bray Wanderers 1.00
#11 Drogheda United 0.95
#12 Cork City 0.87
League avg
1.18
Total
3.39 3 matches
Defence
0.79 xGA per match
#1/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Treaty United FC 0.79
#2 Shamrock Rovers 0.82
#3 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.90
#4 Shelbourne 0.95
#5 Bohemian FC 1.00
#6 Derry City 1.04
#7 Bray Wanderers 1.19
#8 Drogheda United 1.26
#9 Galway United 1.30
#10 Cork City 1.41
#11 Sligo Rovers 1.49
#12 Waterford FC 1.64
League avg
1.18
Total
2.37 3 matches
xG difference
+0.34 xGD per match
#5/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Shamrock Rovers +0.42
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.40
#3 Bohemian FC +0.38
#4 Shelbourne +0.34
#5 Treaty United FC +0.34
#6 Derry City +0.21
#7 Galway United -0.01
#8 Bray Wanderers -0.19
#9 Drogheda United -0.30
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.31
#11 Cork City -0.54
#12 Waterford FC -0.60
League avg
0.00
Total
+1.02 3 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.67 xPts per match
#1/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Treaty United FC 1.67
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.66
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.66
#4 Shelbourne 1.62
#5 Bohemian FC 1.61
#6 Derry City 1.47
#7 Galway United 1.34
#8 Sligo Rovers 1.20
#9 Bray Wanderers 1.16
#10 Drogheda United 1.15
#11 Cork City 0.98
#12 Waterford FC 0.97
League avg
1.37
Total
5.00 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 3 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Treaty United FC's underlying numbers sit close to the Premier Division (Ireland) average. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.34 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than the league's lowest shot volume. After only 3 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
1 3.39 -2.39 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
2 2.37 -0.37 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 5.00 -2.00 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Treaty United FC are 2.39 goals below their xG after 3 matches.

Goals
1
xG
3.39
Gap
-2.39
Fri 24/10 Tue 28/10 Sun 02/11 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.14 -1.28 -2.39 -0.14 -1.14 -1.11 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Treaty United FC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 24/10 Cobh Ramblers FC 1 1.14 -0.14 -0.14
Tue 28/10 Cobh Ramblers FC 0 1.14 -1.14 -1.28
Sun 02/11 Bray Wanderers 0 1.11 -1.11 -2.39

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Treaty United FC xG trend

Current form +0.34 npxGD per match

All 3 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 3 matches.

npxG · last 3
1.13
npxGA · last 3
0.79
-1 0 +1 +0.49 Fri 24/10 +0.31 Tue 28/10 +0.22 Sun 02/11 +0.34 season avg
Treaty United FC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 24/10 Cobh Ramblers FC 1.14 0.65 +0.49 +0.49
Tue 28/10 Cobh Ramblers FC 1.14 0.83 +0.31 +0.40
Sun 02/11 Bray Wanderers 1.11 0.89 +0.22 +0.34

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.13 npxG and 0.79 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 3 league matches
Not ranked: a club needs 27 matches against rated opponents, and Treaty United FC have 3.
Last 3
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 3 league matches
Not ranked: only 3 league matches played, and Last 5 ranks full runs of 5.
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 3 matches

  1. Bray Wanderers Away −0.03
  2. Cobh Ramblers FC Away −0.03
  3. Cobh Ramblers FC Home −0.03

Last 3

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 3 matches

  1. Bray Wanderers Away −0.03
  2. Cobh Ramblers FC Away −0.03
  3. Cobh Ramblers FC Home −0.03

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Treaty United FC shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Treaty United FC take 11.0 shots a match (league 13.1) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #12 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #3 for quality. 48% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#12/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 16.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 14.9
#3 Shamrock Rovers 14.7
#4 Shelbourne 14.6
#5 Galway United 14.0
#6 Bray Wanderers 12.7
#7 Derry City 12.1
#8 Waterford FC 11.4
#9 Cork City 11.3
=10 Drogheda United 11.1
=10 Sligo Rovers 11.1
#12 Treaty United FC 11.0
League avg
13.1
Total
33 shots from 3 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#3/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#2 Derry City 0.10
#3 Treaty United FC 0.10
#4 Galway United 0.09
#5 Waterford FC 0.09
#6 Shelbourne 0.09
#7 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#8 Bohemian FC 0.09
#9 Drogheda United 0.09
#10 Shamrock Rovers 0.08
#11 Bray Wanderers 0.08
#12 Cork City 0.08
League avg
0.09
Total
3.39 npxG from 33 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.7 shots per match
#7/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bray Wanderers 9.3
#2 Shamrock Rovers 9.8
#3 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.4
#4 Derry City 10.5
#5 Shelbourne 11.4
#6 Bohemian FC 11.5
#7 Treaty United FC 12.7
#8 Drogheda United 14.4
#9 Galway United 14.6
#10 Cork City 15.6
#11 Waterford FC 16.0
#12 Sligo Rovers 16.9
League avg
13.1
Total
38 shots allowed from 3 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.06 npxGA per shot
#1/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Treaty United FC 0.06
#2 Shelbourne 0.08
#3 Shamrock Rovers 0.08
#4 Bohemian FC 0.09
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#6 Drogheda United 0.09
#7 Sligo Rovers 0.09
#8 Galway United 0.09
#9 Cork City 0.09
#10 Derry City 0.10
#11 Waterford FC 0.10
#12 Bray Wanderers 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
2.37 npxGA from 38 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

48% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 16 of 33 shots over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

58% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 22 of 38 shots allowed over 3 matches

Early-season figure: after 3 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Treaty United FC home and away xG

Treaty United FC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 1 match with xG Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 1 2
xG / match 1.14 1.13
xGA / match 0.65 0.86
xGD / match +0.49 +0.27
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.81 1.59

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Treaty United FC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
3
xG / match
1.13
xGA / match
0.79
xGD / match
+0.34
Points
3 of 9
  1. Sun 02/11 Bray Wanderers A xG 1.11 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.22
  2. Tue 28/10 Cobh Ramblers FC A xG 1.14 xGA 0.83 xGD +0.31
  3. Fri 24/10 Cobh Ramblers FC H xG 1.14 xGA 0.65 xGD +0.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Treaty United FC in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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