Arsenal 1:2 Bournemouth: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 11/04/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Arsenal Home 2.32 xG · 15 shots

Bournemouth Away 1.19 xG · 8 shots

12 The result went against the chances

Goals

17' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.57 xG chance 0–1
35' Viktor Gyökeres (pen.) Arsenal · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
74' Alex Scott Bournemouth · 0.35 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Arsenal Bournemouth

Shots: 15; 8
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.19; 1.15
Set-piece xG: 1.40; 0.00
Penalties: 1; 0

Arsenal's shots add up to 2.41 xG and Bournemouth's to 1.15; the published figures are 2.32 and 1.19.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.56 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Arsenal
Bournemouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Arsenal

1.42 xG created 0.88 xGA

D 0.60 created, 1.34 conceded against Brentford
D 1.86 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 1.93 created, 0.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.13 created, 1.05 conceded against Chelsea
W 0.43 created, 0.80 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.59 created, 1.05 conceded against Everton

Bournemouth

1.65 xG created 1.75 xGA

W 1.33 created, 2.91 conceded against Everton
D 0.65 created, 2.87 conceded against West Ham United
D 1.50 created, 1.42 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.99 created, 0.40 conceded against Brentford
D 2.88 created, 1.14 conceded against Burnley
D 1.57 created, 1.77 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Arsenal: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Bournemouth 2:3 Arsenal 03/01/2026 xG 1.43 – 1.13

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.