Bournemouth 2:3 Arsenal: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Bournemouth Home 1.43 xG · 15 shots

Arsenal Away 1.13 xG · 12 shots

23 The result went against the chances

Goals

10' Evanilson Bournemouth · 0.70 xG chance 1–0
16' Gabriel Magalhães Arsenal · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
54' Declan Rice Arsenal · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
71' Declan Rice Arsenal · 0.42 xG chance 1–3
76' Eli Junior Kroupi Bournemouth · 0.03 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Bournemouth Arsenal

Shots: 15; 12
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 5; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.09
Open play xG: 1.18; 0.74
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.38
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for Bournemouth and 1.13 for Arsenal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bournemouth
Arsenal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bournemouth

1.87 xG created 2.00 xGA

L 0.57 created, 1.35 conceded against Everton
D 1.42 created, 0.92 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.94 created, 3.40 conceded against Manchester United
D 1.41 created, 0.38 conceded against Burnley
L 2.72 created, 3.66 conceded against Brentford
D 3.14 created, 2.31 conceded against Chelsea

Arsenal

2.13 xG created 1.10 xGA

W 1.77 created, 0.35 conceded against Brentford
L 1.92 created, 2.16 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.13 created, 0.38 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 1.81 created, 0.20 conceded against Everton
W 3.08 created, 0.85 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 3.04 created, 2.67 conceded against Aston Villa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.