Bournemouth 2:2 Manchester United: xG & match report · Premier League

Friday, 20/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Bournemouth Home 1.57 xG · 16 shots

Manchester United Away 1.77 xG · 15 shots

22 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

61' Bruno Fernandes (pen.) Manchester United · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
67' Ryan Christie Bournemouth · 0.06 xG chance 1–1
71' James Hill (o.g.) Manchester United · 0.10 xG chance 1–2
81' Eli Junior Kroupi (pen.) Bournemouth · 0.82 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Bournemouth Manchester United

Shots: 16; 15
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.71; 0.65
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.41
Penalties: 1; 1

Bournemouth's shots add up to 1.61 xG and Manchester United's to 1.88; the published figures are 1.57 and 1.77.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bournemouth
Manchester United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bournemouth

1.78 xG created 1.53 xGA

D 2.31 created, 0.44 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.33 created, 2.91 conceded against Everton
D 0.65 created, 2.87 conceded against West Ham United
D 1.50 created, 1.42 conceded against Sunderland
D 1.99 created, 0.40 conceded against Brentford
D 2.88 created, 1.14 conceded against Burnley

Manchester United

1.29 xG created 0.91 xGA

W 1.79 created, 0.49 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 0.62 created, 1.08 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Everton
W 2.12 created, 0.38 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.28 created, 2.22 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.07 created, 1.02 conceded against Aston Villa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bournemouth: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Manchester United 4:4 Bournemouth 15/12/2025 xG 3.40 – 1.94

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.