xgEdge

Club

Aston Villa 2026/2027

Premier League 2026/2027 →

Aston Villa right now

Aston Villa have made a difficult start and sit 16th in Premier League. A -4.69 xG difference sits behind 4 points from 5 matches, which suggests the results reflect poor underlying performances. They have scored slightly below their 4.53 xG (−0.53), while conceding close to the 9.22 xG against them. Their defence rates 18th of 20 in Premier League for the chances it allows an average opponent.

How Aston Villa compares

Open the match page for Brentford

Next match Premier League · Sat 10/10

Home Brentford

1.44 Projected expected goals 1.45
Model probability
Aston Villa
35%
Draw
29%
Brentford
36%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for Tottenham Hotspur

Last result Premier League · Sat 19/09

Away Tottenham Hotspur

3:2 Win

Expected goals
1.16 – 1.56
xG difference
-0.40

Won despite being out-created

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
4.0 0.0 Sun 23/08 Sat 19/09 Sun 23/08 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals 0.29 Mon 31/08 Arsenal · Expected goals 0.33 Sat 05/09 Hull City · Expected goals 1.93 Sat 12/09 Nottingham Forest · Expected goals 0.82 Sat 19/09 Tottenham Hotspur · Expected goals 1.16 Sun 23/08 Brighton & Hove Albion · Expected goals conceded 3.77 Mon 31/08 Arsenal · Expected goals conceded 1.04 Sat 05/09 Hull City · Expected goals conceded 0.57 Sat 12/09 Nottingham Forest · Expected goals conceded 2.28 Sat 19/09 Tottenham Hotspur · Expected goals conceded 1.56
The season so far 5 matches, as they add up -4.69 xG difference -0.94 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Aston Villa's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sun 23/08 Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0:4 0.29 3.77 -3.48 0
Mon 31/08 Arsenal Home 0:1 0.33 1.04 -0.71 0
Sat 05/09 Hull City Away 0:0 1.93 0.57 +1.36 0
Sat 12/09 Nottingham Forest Home 1:2 0.82 2.28 -1.46 1
Sat 19/09 Tottenham Hotspur Away 3:2 1.16 1.56 -0.40 3
The season so far 4.53 9.22 4

Finishing

-0.53

Goals vs xG

Defending

-0.22

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-0.50

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Nicolas Jackson F 1.23 71 min · 0G · xG 0.65 · xA 0.58
Emiliano Buendía F 1.11 176 min · 0G · xG 0.89 · xA 0.22
John McGinn F 0.97 172 min · 0G · xG 0.73 · xA 0.24
Ian Maatsen D 0.70 172 min · 0G · xG 0.27 · xA 0.43
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Premier League 2026/2027 How the model works →