xgEdge

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 15:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa 0:1 Brentford

Aston Villa Home 1.98 xG · 27 shots
Brentford Away 0.53 xG · 6 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 45' Dango Ouattara Brentford · 0.11 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Brentford
Shots
27
6
On target
5
2
Inside the box
17
5
xG per shot
0.07
0.09
Open play xG
1.27
0.14
Set-piece xG
0.69
0.39
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.00 for Aston Villa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Aston Villa · Ezri Konsa · 33' · No goal · 7 m · 0.29 xG Aston Villa · Tammy Abraham · 55' · No goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Brentford · Kristoffer Ajer · 53' · No goal · 4 m · 0.17 xG Brentford · Kevin Schade · 16' · No goal · 13 m · 0.16 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.16 xG Aston Villa · Pau Torres · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.12 xG Aston Villa · Tammy Abraham · 15' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG Brentford · Dango Ouattara · 45' · Goal · 5 m · 0.11 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Aston Villa · Leon Bailey · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 27' · No goal · 18 m · 0.09 xG Aston Villa · Tammy Abraham · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Aston Villa · Harvey Elliott · 81' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Aston Villa · Ian Maatsen · 21' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Aston Villa · Douglas Luiz · 66' · No goal · 5 m · 0.08 xG Aston Villa · Leon Bailey · 58' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 88' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Brentford · Nathan Collins · 69' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Douglas Luiz · 75' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Ian Maatsen · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Brentford · Mathias Jensen · 7' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 62' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Douglas Luiz · 89' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 45' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Jadon Sancho · 65' · No goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Douglas Luiz · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 71' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Harvey Elliott · 90' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Brentford · Rico Henry · 34' · No goal · 32 m · 0.01 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 58' · No goal · 3 m · 0.01 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 90' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

33 shots · 2.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Aston Villa
  • Brentford
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Aston Villa

1.62 xG created 1.74 xGA

  • W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 2.67 created, 3.04 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 1.59 created, 0.89 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 1.74 created, 1.50 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 1.36 created, 0.56 conceded against Everton
  • W 1.16 created, 2.30 conceded against Newcastle United
Brentford

2.29 xG created 1.42 xGA

  • W 3.66 created, 2.72 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 0.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • W 2.66 created, 0.89 conceded against Everton
  • W 3.24 created, 1.72 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.52 created, 1.59 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 1.76 created, 0.76 conceded against Nottingham Forest

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Aston Villa: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.