Tuesday, 30/12/2025 at 21:15
Full timeArsenal 4:1 Aston Villa
Goals
- 48' Gabriel Magalhães Arsenal · 0.42 xG chance 1–0
- 52' Martín Zubimendi Arsenal · 0.52 xG chance 2–0
- 69' Leandro Trossard Arsenal · 0.09 xG chance 3–0
- 78' Gabriel Jesus Arsenal · 0.09 xG chance 4–0
- 90' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.89 xG chance 4–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 22
- 11
- On target
- 7
- 3
- Inside the box
- 17
- 9
- xG per shot
- 0.14
- 0.32
- Open play xG
- 2.38
- 3.50
- Set-piece xG
- 0.67
- 0.01
- Penalties
- —
- —
Arsenal's shots add up to 3.05 xG and Aston Villa's to 3.51; the published figures are 3.04 and 2.67.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
33 shots · 6.56 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Arsenal
- Aston Villa
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.83 xG created 0.79 xGA
- D 1.26 created, 0.79 conceded against Chelsea
- W 1.77 created, 0.35 conceded against Brentford
- L 1.92 created, 2.16 conceded against Aston Villa
- W 1.13 created, 0.38 conceded against Wolverhampton
- W 1.81 created, 0.20 conceded against Everton
- W 3.08 created, 0.85 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
1.49 xG created 1.52 xGA
- W 0.94 created, 0.49 conceded against Wolverhampton
- W 2.41 created, 2.21 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- W 2.16 created, 1.92 conceded against Arsenal
- W 0.67 created, 1.03 conceded against West Ham United
- W 1.54 created, 1.33 conceded against Manchester United
- W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against Chelsea
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.