xgEdge

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United 0:2 Aston Villa

Newcastle United Home 2.30 xG · 15 shots
Aston Villa Away 1.16 xG · 14 shots
02 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 19' Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa · 0.05 xG chance 0–1
  2. 88' Ollie Watkins Aston Villa · 0.43 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Aston Villa
Shots
15
14
On target
4
8
Inside the box
9
7
xG per shot
0.15
0.08
Open play xG
2.22
0.45
Set-piece xG
0.09
0.72
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.30 for Newcastle United and 1.16 for Aston Villa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 55' · No goal · 5 m · 0.68 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Gordon · 55' · No goal · 4 m · 0.57 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 1' · No goal · 12 m · 0.43 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 88' · Goal · 4 m · 0.43 xG Newcastle United · Lewis Miley · 43' · No goal · 6 m · 0.19 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 12' · No goal · 10 m · 0.17 xG Aston Villa · Pau Torres · 13' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Aston Villa · Pau Torres · 62' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 33' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 82' · No goal · 25 m · 0.07 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 46' · No goal · 21 m · 0.06 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 59' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Newcastle United · Anthony Elanga · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 19' · Goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Aston Villa · Matty Cash · 24' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Sven Botman · 66' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Newcastle United · Yoane Wissa · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Jacob Ramsey · 58' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG Newcastle United · Sandro Tonali · 59' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 41' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Joelinton · 42' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 90' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Aston Villa · Emiliano Buendía · 5' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 51' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Morgan Rogers · 56' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Leon Bailey · 61' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 87' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Aston Villa · Ollie Watkins · 14' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG Newcastle United · Harvey Barnes · 90' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

29 shots · 3.48 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Newcastle United
  • Aston Villa
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Newcastle United

1.91 xG created 1.09 xGA

  • D 2.31 created, 1.22 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 1.18 created, 1.17 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.31 created, 1.09 conceded against Burnley
  • W 2.08 created, 0.70 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.72 created, 2.05 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 0.88 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
Aston Villa

1.68 xG created 1.58 xGA

  • W 1.54 created, 1.33 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 1.19 created, 2.14 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 2.67 created, 3.04 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 1.59 created, 0.89 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 1.74 created, 1.50 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 1.36 created, 0.56 conceded against Everton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Newcastle United: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.