Aston Villa 2:1 Arsenal: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Aston Villa Home 2.16 xG · 15 shots

Arsenal Away 1.92 xG · 15 shots

21 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

36' Matty Cash Aston Villa · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
52' Leandro Trossard Arsenal · 0.30 xG chance 1–1
90' Emiliano Buendía Aston Villa · 0.10 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Aston Villa Arsenal

Shots: 15; 15
On target: 6; 9
Inside the box: 13; 9
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.13
Open play xG: 2.13; 1.53
Set-piece xG: 0.17; 0.39
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.28 for Aston Villa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 4.22 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Aston Villa
Arsenal
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Aston Villa

1.31 xG created 1.41 xGA

W 0.81 created, 1.18 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.41 created, 1.19 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.70 created, 1.61 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.58 created, 1.79 conceded against Leeds United
W 0.94 created, 0.49 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 2.41 created, 2.21 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

Arsenal

1.70 xG created 0.42 xGA

W 0.92 created, 0.45 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 2.42 created, 0.42 conceded against Burnley
D 1.91 created, 0.44 conceded against Sunderland
W 1.93 created, 0.07 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 1.26 created, 0.79 conceded against Chelsea
W 1.77 created, 0.35 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.