Bournemouth 3:2 Liverpool: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Bournemouth Home 2.30 xG · 12 shots

Liverpool Away 0.83 xG · 14 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

26' Evanilson Bournemouth · 0.26 xG chance 1–0
33' Álex Jiménez Bournemouth · 0.32 xG chance 2–0
45' Virgil van Dijk Liverpool · 0.18 xG chance 2–1
80' Dominik Szoboszlai Liverpool · 0.05 xG chance 2–2
90' Amine Adli Bournemouth · 0.23 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Bournemouth Liverpool

Shots: 12; 14
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 9; 6
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.08; 0.62
Set-piece xG: 1.30; 0.23
Penalties: —; —

Bournemouth's shots add up to 2.38 xG and Liverpool's to 0.85; the published figures are 2.30 and 0.83.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bournemouth
Liverpool
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bournemouth

1.88 xG created 1.63 xGA

D 1.41 created, 0.38 conceded against Burnley
L 2.72 created, 3.66 conceded against Brentford
D 3.14 created, 2.31 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.43 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.27 created, 1.25 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 1.33 created, 1.05 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion

Liverpool

1.52 xG created 0.76 xGA

W 0.66 created, 1.07 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 1.54 created, 1.07 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 2.08 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
D 1.37 created, 0.74 conceded against Fulham
D 0.31 created, 0.57 conceded against Arsenal
D 3.18 created, 0.40 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bournemouth: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Liverpool 4:2 Bournemouth 15/08/2025 xG 2.21 – 1.70

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.