Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 Bournemouth: xG & match report · Premier League

Monday, 19/01/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 1.05 xG · 17 shots

Bournemouth Away 1.33 xG · 12 shots

11 Bournemouth had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

32' Marcus Tavernier (pen.) Bournemouth · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
90' Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.08 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Bournemouth

Shots: 17; 12
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 12; 8
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.51; 0.45
Set-piece xG: 0.53; 0.08
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.05 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.54 for Bournemouth.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.39 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Bournemouth
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.51 xG created 1.84 xGA

L 1.90 created, 1.89 conceded against Liverpool
D 1.13 created, 1.38 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.85 created, 3.08 conceded against Arsenal
D 2.94 created, 2.06 conceded against West Ham United
W 1.45 created, 0.30 conceded against Burnley
D 0.81 created, 2.35 conceded against Manchester City

Bournemouth

1.99 xG created 2.02 xGA

D 1.94 created, 3.40 conceded against Manchester United
D 1.41 created, 0.38 conceded against Burnley
L 2.72 created, 3.66 conceded against Brentford
D 3.14 created, 2.31 conceded against Chelsea
L 1.43 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.27 created, 1.25 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Brighton & Hove Albion: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Bournemouth 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion 13/09/2025 xG 1.45 – 0.62

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.