Manchester United 2:0 Tottenham Hotspur: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 07/02/2026 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester United Home 1.79 xG · 23 shots

Tottenham Hotspur Away 0.49 xG · 7 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

38' Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
81' Bruno Fernandes Manchester United · 0.27 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Manchester United Tottenham Hotspur

Shots: 23; 7
On target: 10; 1
Inside the box: 10; 4
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.24; 0.49
Set-piece xG: 0.57; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.79 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.30 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester United
Tottenham Hotspur
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester United

1.62 xG created 0.99 xGA

D 0.84 created, 1.16 conceded against Wolverhampton
D 1.58 created, 0.90 conceded against Leeds United
D 2.55 created, 0.24 conceded against Burnley
W 2.27 created, 0.45 conceded against Manchester City
W 0.73 created, 1.20 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.74 created, 1.97 conceded against Fulham

Tottenham Hotspur

1.37 xG created 1.46 xGA

D 0.86 created, 0.92 conceded against Brentford
D 1.18 created, 0.44 conceded against Sunderland
L 1.25 created, 1.27 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.68 created, 2.69 conceded against West Ham United
D 2.30 created, 1.44 conceded against Burnley
D 0.97 created, 1.99 conceded against Manchester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Manchester United: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Tottenham Hotspur 2:2 Manchester United 08/11/2025 xG 0.92 – 0.63

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.