Newcastle United 2:1 Manchester United: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 04/03/2026 at 21:15

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United Home 2.22 xG · 12 shots

Manchester United Away 1.28 xG · 14 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Anthony Gordon (pen.) Newcastle United · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
45' Casemiro Manchester United · 0.06 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' William Osula Newcastle United · 0.06 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Manchester United

Shots: 12; 14
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 8; 8
xG per shot: 0.19; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.49; 0.99
Set-piece xG: 0.92; 0.31
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.43 for Newcastle United and 1.29 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.53 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Newcastle United
Manchester United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Newcastle United

1.45 xG created 1.71 xGA

L 2.30 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
L 0.33 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool
L 2.25 created, 1.93 conceded against Brentford
W 2.28 created, 1.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 0.58 created, 1.35 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.97 created, 2.13 conceded against Everton

Manchester United

1.31 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 0.73 created, 1.20 conceded against Arsenal
W 1.74 created, 1.97 conceded against Fulham
W 1.79 created, 0.49 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 0.62 created, 1.08 conceded against West Ham United
W 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Everton
W 2.12 created, 0.38 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Newcastle United: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Manchester United 1:0 Newcastle United 26/12/2025 xG 1.17 – 1.18

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.