xgEdge

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0 Burnley

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 1.45 xG · 15 shots
Burnley Away 0.30 xG · 5 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 29' Georginio Rutter Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
  2. 47' Yasin Ayari Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.12 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Burnley
Shots
15
5
On target
4
3
Inside the box
9
4
xG per shot
0.10
0.06
Open play xG
1.02
0.18
Set-piece xG
0.45
0.10
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.45 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.28 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Brighton & Hove Albion · Charalampos Kostoulas · 55' · No goal · 8 m · 0.49 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Joël Veltman · 7' · No goal · 4 m · 0.24 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Charalampos Kostoulas · 50' · No goal · 14 m · 0.15 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Yasin Ayari · 47' · Goal · 13 m · 0.12 xG Burnley · Oliver Sonne · 59' · No goal · 3 m · 0.12 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Jan Paul van Hecke · 40' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Lewis Dunk · 20' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Georginio Rutter · 29' · Goal · 4 m · 0.06 xG Burnley · Lucas Pires · 45' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Diego Gómez · 17' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Pascal Groß · 79' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Maxim De Cuyper · 84' · No goal · 22 m · 0.05 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 67' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 90' · No goal · 31 m · 0.04 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Diego Gómez · 21' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Diego Gómez · 49' · No goal · 20 m · 0.03 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Yasin Ayari · 29' · No goal · 17 m · 0.02 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Jan Paul van Hecke · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Brajan Gruda · 56' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 67' · No goal · 4 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

20 shots · 1.75 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Burnley
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Brighton & Hove Albion

1.82 xG created 1.99 xGA

  • L 2.21 created, 2.41 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 1.87 created, 1.14 conceded against West Ham United
  • L 1.90 created, 1.89 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 1.13 created, 1.38 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 0.85 created, 3.08 conceded against Arsenal
  • D 2.94 created, 2.06 conceded against West Ham United
Burnley

1.32 xG created 1.52 xGA

  • L 0.95 created, 0.59 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 1.61 created, 1.77 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 2.46 created, 2.23 conceded against Fulham
  • D 0.38 created, 1.41 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 1.41 created, 0.82 conceded against Everton
  • L 1.09 created, 2.31 conceded against Newcastle United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.