Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Brentford: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 1.22 xG · 14 shots

Brentford Away 1.91 xG · 10 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

29' Igor Thiago (pen.) Brentford · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
71' Danny Welbeck Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.46 xG chance 1–1
84' Jack Hinshelwood Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.04 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Brentford

Shots: 14; 10
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 8; 7
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.20
Open play xG: 1.07; 0.21
Set-piece xG: 0.11; 0.19
Penalties: 0; 2

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.22 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 0.40 for Brentford.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.22 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brighton & Hove Albion
Brentford
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.45 xG created 1.06 xGA

W 2.28 created, 1.81 conceded against Chelsea
D 0.92 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.91 created, 1.45 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.12 created, 1.29 conceded against Manchester United
W 3.07 created, 0.50 conceded against Leeds United
D 0.39 created, 0.75 conceded against Crystal Palace

Brentford

1.77 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 1.99 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester United
L 0.70 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.31 created, 0.33 conceded against West Ham United
W 2.75 created, 2.30 conceded against Liverpool
L 0.54 created, 0.70 conceded against Crystal Palace
W 2.35 created, 0.44 conceded against Newcastle United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.