Manchester United 4:2 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester United Home 1.29 xG · 13 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 1.12 xG · 17 shots

42 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

24' Matheus Cunha Manchester United · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
34' Casemiro Manchester United · 0.02 xG chance 2–0
61' Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 0.05 xG chance 3–0
74' Danny Welbeck Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.13 xG chance 3–1
90' Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 0.33 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Charalampos Kostoulas Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.16 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Manchester United Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 13; 17
On target: 9; 5
Inside the box: 7; 10
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.23; 0.49
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.64
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.28 for Manchester United and 1.12 for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

30 shots · 2.44 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester United

2.03 xG created 1.62 xGA

W 3.54 created, 1.20 conceded against Burnley
L 1.52 created, 2.63 conceded against Manchester City
W 1.84 created, 0.43 conceded against Chelsea
L 2.03 created, 1.99 conceded against Brentford
W 1.88 created, 0.71 conceded against Sunderland
W 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Liverpool

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.39 xG created 1.39 xGA

W 2.30 created, 1.82 conceded against Manchester City
L 0.62 created, 1.45 conceded against Bournemouth
D 1.32 created, 1.22 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 2.28 created, 1.81 conceded against Chelsea
D 0.92 created, 0.56 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.91 created, 1.45 conceded against Newcastle United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.