xgEdge

Saturday, 21/03/2026 at 13:45

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Match report · Premier League

Brighton & Hove Albion 2:1 Liverpool

Brighton & Hove Albion Home 2.30 xG · 16 shots
Liverpool Away 1.03 xG · 12 shots
21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 14' Danny Welbeck Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.27 xG chance 1–0
  2. 30' Miloš Kerkez Liverpool · 0.50 xG chance 1–1
  3. 56' Danny Welbeck Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.79 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Brighton & Hove Albion Liverpool
Shots
16
12
On target
7
5
Inside the box
11
10
xG per shot
0.15
0.08
Open play xG
1.59
0.89
Set-piece xG
0.73
0.11
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.30 for Brighton & Hove Albion and 1.03 for Liverpool.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Brighton & Hove Albion · Danny Welbeck · 56' · Goal · 3 m · 0.79 xG Liverpool · Miloš Kerkez · 30' · Goal · 14 m · 0.50 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Yankuba Minteh · 68' · No goal · 8 m · 0.30 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Diego Gómez · 21' · No goal · 7 m · 0.28 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Danny Welbeck · 14' · Goal · 3 m · 0.27 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Mats Wieffer · 53' · No goal · 6 m · 0.15 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Kaoru Mitoma · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 16' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Liverpool · Curtis Jones · 64' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Danny Welbeck · 71' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Liverpool · Federico Chiesa · 78' · No goal · 10 m · 0.07 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Yasin Ayari · 87' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 22' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Liverpool · Dominik Szoboszlai · 24' · No goal · 25 m · 0.06 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Ferdi Kadıoğlu · 52' · No goal · 24 m · 0.05 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Diego Gómez · 62' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 65' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Jack Hinshelwood · 32' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Jan Paul van Hecke · 87' · No goal · 4 m · 0.04 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Mats Wieffer · 38' · No goal · 23 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Florian Wirtz · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · James Milner · 45' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Alexis Mac Allister · 45' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · James Milner · 71' · No goal · 16 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Cody Gakpo · 86' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Liverpool · Dominik Szoboszlai · 10' · No goal · 15 m · 0.02 xG Brighton & Hove Albion · Diego Gómez · 71' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG Liverpool · Dominik Szoboszlai · 10' · No goal · 51 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.32 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Liverpool
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Brighton & Hove Albion

1.02 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • L 0.85 created, 1.16 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • L 0.50 created, 0.72 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 1.11 created, 1.74 conceded against Brentford
  • W 1.31 created, 0.93 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.80 created, 0.43 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 1.57 created, 0.97 conceded against Sunderland
Liverpool

1.79 xG created 1.38 xGA

  • L 1.21 created, 2.91 conceded against Manchester City
  • W 2.53 created, 0.63 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 1.76 created, 1.26 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • W 1.75 created, 1.84 conceded against West Ham United
  • L 1.81 created, 0.44 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 1.67 created, 1.18 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Brighton & Hove Albion: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.