Nottingham Forest 0:1 Liverpool: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest Home 1.26 xG · 18 shots

Liverpool Away 1.76 xG · 10 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

90' Alexis Mac Allister Liverpool · 0.70 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Liverpool

Shots: 18; 10
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 7; 8
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.18
Open play xG: 1.05; 0.90
Set-piece xG: 0.19; 0.93
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.26 for Nottingham Forest and 1.79 for Liverpool.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nottingham Forest
Liverpool
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nottingham Forest

1.11 xG created 1.61 xGA

W 1.38 created, 0.95 conceded against West Ham United
D 0.34 created, 2.10 conceded against Arsenal
W 0.76 created, 1.76 conceded against Brentford
D 0.49 created, 1.92 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.13 created, 2.50 conceded against Leeds United
D 2.55 created, 0.42 conceded against Wolverhampton

Liverpool

1.67 xG created 1.19 xGA

D 0.31 created, 0.57 conceded against Arsenal
D 3.18 created, 0.40 conceded against Burnley
L 0.83 created, 2.30 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.95 created, 0.33 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.21 created, 2.91 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.53 created, 0.63 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nottingham Forest: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Liverpool 0:3 Nottingham Forest 22/11/2025 xG 1.93 – 1.58

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.