xgEdge

Saturday, 13/12/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Chelsea 2:0 Everton

Chelsea Home 2.20 xG · 17 shots
Everton Away 1.03 xG · 11 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 21' Cole Palmer Chelsea · 0.51 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Malo Gusto Chelsea · 0.29 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Chelsea Everton
Shots
17
11
On target
5
2
Inside the box
11
9
xG per shot
0.13
0.09
Open play xG
1.82
0.60
Set-piece xG
0.41
0.44
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.20 for Chelsea and 1.04 for Everton.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 21' · Goal · 8 m · 0.51 xG Everton · Jack Grealish · 72' · No goal · 5 m · 0.36 xG Everton · Jack Grealish · 44' · No goal · 3 m · 0.31 xG Chelsea · Malo Gusto · 45' · Goal · 9 m · 0.29 xG Chelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 55' · No goal · 8 m · 0.27 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 73' · No goal · 5 m · 0.26 xG Chelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 48' · No goal · 3 m · 0.23 xG Chelsea · Andrey Santos · 69' · No goal · 19 m · 0.15 xG Chelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 23' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Everton · Carlos Alcaraz · 89' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 29' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 87' · No goal · 12 m · 0.07 xG Chelsea · Reece James · 75' · No goal · 25 m · 0.06 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 80' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Chelsea · Trevoh Chalobah · 4' · No goal · 3 m · 0.05 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 20' · No goal · 13 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Jamie Gittens · 90' · No goal · 20 m · 0.05 xG Everton · James Tarkowski · 38' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Reece James · 76' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Michael Keane · 89' · No goal · 5 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 5' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Alejandro Garnacho · 23' · No goal · 9 m · 0.03 xG Everton · James Garner · 7' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 30' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Malo Gusto · 44' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Jack Grealish · 54' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 35' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG Everton · Jack Grealish · 67' · No goal · 14 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

28 shots · 3.27 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Chelsea
  • Everton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Chelsea

1.92 xG created 1.04 xGA

  • W 3.68 created, 0.10 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • W 3.31 created, 0.17 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • W 1.72 created, 0.44 conceded against Burnley
  • D 0.79 created, 1.26 conceded against Arsenal
  • L 1.11 created, 2.82 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 0.92 created, 1.42 conceded against Bournemouth
Everton

1.00 xG created 1.06 xGA

  • D 0.89 created, 1.22 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 1.44 created, 0.40 conceded against Fulham
  • W 0.21 created, 1.71 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 1.00 created, 1.92 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.35 created, 0.57 conceded against Bournemouth
  • W 1.12 created, 0.53 conceded against Nottingham Forest

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.