xgEdge

Saturday, 06/12/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Everton 3:0 Nottingham Forest

Everton Home 1.12 xG · 12 shots
Nottingham Forest Away 0.53 xG · 7 shots
30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 2' Nikola Milenković (o.g.) Everton · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.34 xG chance 2–0
  3. 81' Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Everton · 0.02 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Everton Nottingham Forest
Shots
12
7
On target
6
3
Inside the box
7
6
xG per shot
0.10
0.08
Open play xG
0.85
0.49
Set-piece xG
0.36
0.06
Penalties
—
—

Everton's shots add up to 1.21 xG and Nottingham Forest's to 0.55; the published figures are 1.12 and 0.53.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Everton · Thierno Barry · 45' · Goal · 10 m · 0.34 xG Nottingham Forest · Nicolás Domínguez · 66' · No goal · 10 m · 0.28 xG Everton · James Garner · 56' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 75' · No goal · 18 m · 0.11 xG Everton · Nikola Milenković · 2' · Goal · 4 m · 0.10 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 78' · No goal · 16 m · 0.10 xG Everton · Beto · 83' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Everton · Beto · 87' · No goal · 8 m · 0.09 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 28' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 56' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Everton · Vitaliy Mykolenko · 50' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 16' · No goal · 24 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Elliot Anderson · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Everton · James Garner · 56' · No goal · 27 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 13' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 52' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Nikola Milenković · 57' · No goal · 2 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson Odoi · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 81' · Goal · 10 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.76 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Everton
  • Nottingham Forest
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Everton

1.11 xG created 1.26 xGA

  • L 1.74 created, 1.72 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • D 0.89 created, 1.22 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 1.44 created, 0.40 conceded against Fulham
  • W 0.21 created, 1.71 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 1.00 created, 1.92 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.35 created, 0.57 conceded against Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest

1.35 xG created 1.21 xGA

  • L 0.37 created, 0.58 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 2.00 created, 1.15 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.55 created, 0.69 conceded against Leeds United
  • W 1.58 created, 1.93 conceded against Liverpool
  • L 0.89 created, 2.00 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 0.74 created, 0.91 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.