Chelsea 0:1 Manchester United: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 18/04/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Chelsea Home 1.57 xG · 21 shots

Manchester United Away 0.29 xG · 4 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

43' Matheus Cunha Manchester United · 0.20 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Chelsea Manchester United

Shots: 21; 4
On target: 3; 1
Inside the box: 11; 1
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.97; 0.30
Set-piece xG: 0.61; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.55 for Chelsea and 0.29 for Manchester United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

25 shots · 1.88 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Chelsea
Manchester United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Chelsea

1.76 xG created 1.25 xGA

D 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Burnley
L 1.05 created, 1.13 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.92 created, 0.88 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.43 created, 1.42 conceded against Newcastle United
L 1.11 created, 0.98 conceded against Everton
L 1.14 created, 2.29 conceded against Manchester City

Manchester United

1.39 xG created 1.34 xGA

W 0.85 created, 0.29 conceded against Everton
W 2.12 created, 0.38 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.28 created, 2.22 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.07 created, 1.02 conceded against Aston Villa
D 1.77 created, 1.57 conceded against Bournemouth
L 1.27 created, 2.57 conceded against Leeds United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Chelsea: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Manchester United 2:1 Chelsea 20/09/2025 xG 1.84 – 0.43

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.