Everton 1:1 Leeds United: xG & match report · Premier League

Monday, 26/01/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Everton Home 0.60 xG · 10 shots

Leeds United Away 1.23 xG · 14 shots

11 Leeds United had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

28' James Justin Leeds United · 0.33 xG chance 0–1
76' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.13 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Everton Leeds United

Shots: 10; 14
On target: 3; 4
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.58; 1.13
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.60 for Everton and 1.23 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Everton
Leeds United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Everton

0.77 xG created 1.58 xGA

L 0.20 created, 1.81 conceded against Arsenal
D 0.82 created, 1.41 conceded against Burnley
W 1.26 created, 1.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 0.89 created, 2.66 conceded against Brentford
D 0.89 created, 0.68 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 0.56 created, 1.36 conceded against Aston Villa

Leeds United

1.65 xG created 1.51 xGA

W 2.67 created, 1.56 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 2.17 created, 0.70 conceded against Sunderland
D 0.69 created, 2.08 conceded against Liverpool
D 0.90 created, 1.58 conceded against Manchester United
L 2.05 created, 2.72 conceded against Newcastle United
W 1.43 created, 0.39 conceded against Fulham

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Everton: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Leeds United 1:0 Everton 18/08/2025 xG 2.13 – 0.80

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.