Leeds United 4:1 Crystal Palace: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 20/12/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 2.67 xG · 20 shots

Crystal Palace Away 1.56 xG · 9 shots

41 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

38' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · 0.89 xG chance 1–0
45' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · 0.35 xG chance 2–0
60' Ethan Ampadu Leeds United · 0.12 xG chance 3–0
90' Anton Stach Leeds United · 0.07 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Justin Devenny (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Leeds United Crystal Palace

Shots: 20; 9
On target: 8; 3
Inside the box: 14; 5
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.18
Open play xG: 0.17; 0.74
Set-piece xG: 3.14; 0.06
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.27 for Leeds United and 0.78 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 4.93 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Crystal Palace
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.64 xG created 1.83 xGA

L 0.69 created, 2.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.79 created, 1.58 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.54 created, 3.10 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.82 created, 1.11 conceded against Chelsea
D 1.51 created, 1.91 conceded against Liverpool
D 1.52 created, 0.72 conceded against Brentford

Crystal Palace

1.33 xG created 1.05 xGA

D 0.75 created, 0.39 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 1.27 created, 1.79 conceded against Wolverhampton
L 1.83 created, 1.19 conceded against Manchester United
W 0.59 created, 0.95 conceded against Burnley
W 1.65 created, 0.76 conceded against Fulham
L 1.88 created, 1.19 conceded against Manchester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.