xgEdge

Tuesday, 30/12/2025 at 20:30

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Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest 0:2 Everton

Nottingham Forest Home 1.55 xG · 21 shots
Everton Away 1.26 xG · 11 shots
02 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 19' James Garner Everton · 0.11 xG chance 0–1
  2. 79' Thierno Barry Everton · 0.54 xG chance 0–2

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Everton
Shots
21
11
On target
6
3
Inside the box
12
7
xG per shot
0.07
0.12
Open play xG
1.16
0.88
Set-piece xG
0.41
0.39
Penalties
—
—

Nottingham Forest's shots add up to 1.57 xG and Everton's to 1.27; the published figures are 1.55 and 1.26.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Everton · Thierno Barry · 79' · Goal · 11 m · 0.54 xG Everton · James Tarkowski · 73' · No goal · 4 m · 0.29 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 83' · No goal · 3 m · 0.28 xG Nottingham Forest · Taiwo Awoniyi · 84' · No goal · 7 m · 0.21 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 66' · No goal · 9 m · 0.15 xG Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson Odoi · 30' · No goal · 5 m · 0.13 xG Everton · James Garner · 19' · Goal · 11 m · 0.11 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 59' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 86' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Everton · James Tarkowski · 7' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Nottingham Forest · Murillo · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 46' · No goal · 11 m · 0.07 xG Nottingham Forest · Taiwo Awoniyi · 69' · No goal · 8 m · 0.07 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 25' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Douglas Luiz · 55' · No goal · 26 m · 0.05 xG Everton · Merlin Röhl · 68' · No goal · 16 m · 0.05 xG Nottingham Forest · Omari Hutchinson · 23' · No goal · 26 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Igor Jesus · 23' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Douglas Luiz · 46' · No goal · 20 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Jack Grealish · 74' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 77' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Nottingham Forest · Dilane Bakwa · 87' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Everton · James Garner · 2' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Callum Hudson Odoi · 15' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Oleksandr Zinchenko · 44' · No goal · 29 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Morgan Gibbs-White · 48' · No goal · 21 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 86' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 45' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Douglas Luiz · 50' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Nottingham Forest · Neco Williams · 71' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Everton · James Garner · 73' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Everton · James Garner · 77' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

32 shots · 2.84 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Nottingham Forest
  • Everton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Nottingham Forest

0.88 xG created 1.22 xGA

  • L 0.89 created, 2.00 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 0.74 created, 0.91 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 0.53 created, 1.12 conceded against Everton
  • W 1.91 created, 0.37 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.60 created, 1.50 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.59 created, 1.39 conceded against Manchester City
Everton

0.92 xG created 1.41 xGA

  • L 1.00 created, 1.92 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.35 created, 0.57 conceded against Bournemouth
  • W 1.12 created, 0.53 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 1.03 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 0.20 created, 1.81 conceded against Arsenal
  • D 0.82 created, 1.41 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Nottingham Forest: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.