Liverpool 2:0 Aston Villa: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 01/11/2025 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Liverpool Home 1.19 xG · 16 shots

Aston Villa Away 0.41 xG · 10 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

45' Mohamed Salah Liverpool · 0.10 xG chance 1–0
58' Ryan Gravenberch Liverpool · 0.12 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Liverpool Aston Villa

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.97; 0.31
Set-piece xG: 0.21; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.19 for Liverpool and 0.41 for Aston Villa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 1.60 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Liverpool
Aston Villa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Liverpool

2.11 xG created 1.47 xGA

W 2.65 created, 0.13 conceded against Burnley
W 0.90 created, 0.70 conceded against Everton
L 2.14 created, 2.92 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 1.95 created, 1.00 conceded against Chelsea
L 2.75 created, 1.34 conceded against Manchester United
L 2.30 created, 2.75 conceded against Brentford

Aston Villa

0.79 xG created 1.06 xGA

D 0.54 created, 2.08 conceded against Everton
D 0.78 created, 1.04 conceded against Sunderland
W 1.11 created, 0.92 conceded against Fulham
W 1.16 created, 0.40 conceded against Burnley
W 0.32 created, 0.75 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 0.81 created, 1.18 conceded against Manchester City

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.