Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 15:00
Full timeNottingham Forest 3:1 Leeds United
Goals
- 13' Lukas Nmecha Leeds United · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
- 15' Ibrahim Sangaré Nottingham Forest · 0.32 xG chance 1–1
- 68' Morgan Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest · 0.53 xG chance 2–1
- 90' Elliot Anderson (pen.) Nottingham Forest · 0.82 xG chance 3–1
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 14
- 10
- On target
- 6
- 3
- Inside the box
- 10
- 5
- xG per shot
- 0.18
- 0.08
- Open play xG
- 1.51
- 0.45
- Set-piece xG
- 0.22
- 0.31
- Penalties
- 1
- 0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.74 for Leeds United.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
24 shots · 3.31 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Nottingham Forest
- Leeds United
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.29 xG created 1.45 xGA
- D 1.10 created, 0.85 conceded against Burnley
- L 1.65 created, 1.19 conceded against Sunderland
- L 0.29 created, 3.28 conceded against Newcastle United
- L 2.35 created, 1.67 conceded against Chelsea
- L 0.37 created, 0.58 conceded against Bournemouth
- D 2.00 created, 1.15 conceded against Manchester United
1.44 xG created 1.22 xGA
- W 0.48 created, 1.78 conceded against Wolverhampton
- D 1.84 created, 0.82 conceded against Bournemouth
- L 1.68 created, 0.53 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
- L 2.63 created, 0.45 conceded against Burnley
- W 1.49 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
- L 0.50 created, 3.07 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.