Nottingham Forest 0:3 Chelsea: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 13:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Nottingham Forest Home 2.35 xG · 12 shots

Chelsea Away 1.67 xG · 17 shots

03 The result went against the chances

Goals

49' Josh Acheampong Chelsea · 0.49 xG chance 0–1
52' Pedro Neto Chelsea · 0.12 xG chance 0–2
84' Reece James Chelsea · 0.17 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Nottingham Forest Chelsea

Shots: 12; 17
On target: 2; 6
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.18; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.25; 0.87
Set-piece xG: 0.92; 0.82
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.20 for Nottingham Forest and 1.68 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.86 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Nottingham Forest

0.82 xG created 1.78 xGA

D 0.93 created, 1.10 conceded against Crystal Palace
L 0.73 created, 2.42 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.20 created, 1.84 conceded against Arsenal
D 1.10 created, 0.85 conceded against Burnley
L 1.65 created, 1.19 conceded against Sunderland
L 0.29 created, 3.28 conceded against Newcastle United

Chelsea

1.60 xG created 1.54 xGA

W 2.74 created, 0.73 conceded against West Ham United
W 2.35 created, 1.02 conceded against Fulham
D 1.25 created, 1.43 conceded against Brentford
L 0.43 created, 1.84 conceded against Manchester United
L 1.81 created, 2.28 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 1.00 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.