xgEdge

Thursday, 05/03/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur 1:3 Crystal Palace

Tottenham Hotspur Home 1.58 xG · 12 shots
Crystal Palace Away 1.78 xG · 9 shots
13 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

  1. 34' Dominic Solanke Tottenham Hotspur · 0.83 xG chance 1–0
  2. 40' Ismaïla Sarr (pen.) Crystal Palace · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Ismaïla Sarr Crystal Palace · 0.35 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
  4. 45' Jørgen Strand Larsen Crystal Palace · 0.14 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Tottenham Hotspur Crystal Palace
Shots
12
9
On target
4
4
Inside the box
10
8
xG per shot
0.13
0.20
Open play xG
0.18
0.68
Set-piece xG
1.35
0.29
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.58 for Tottenham Hotspur and 0.99 for Crystal Palace.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Tottenham Hotspur · Dominic Solanke · 34' · Goal · 4 m · 0.83 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 40' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 45' · Goal · 10 m · 0.35 xG Crystal Palace · Jaydee Canvot · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.19 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 45' · Goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Mathys Tel · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.13 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Kevin Danso · 48' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Crystal Palace · Christantus Uche · 84' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Dominic Solanke · 68' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Xavi Simons · 86' · No goal · 23 m · 0.08 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Kevin Danso · 46' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Pape Matar Sarr · 48' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Crystal Palace · Adam Wharton · 60' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG Crystal Palace · Adam Wharton · 1' · No goal · 11 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Daniel Muñoz · 12' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Archie Gray · 48' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Pape Matar Sarr · 6' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Mathys Tel · 15' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Tottenham Hotspur · Mathys Tel · 34' · No goal · 15 m · 0.03 xG Tottenham Hotspur · João Palhinha · 56' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Crystal Palace · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 70' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG

All shots

21 shots · 3.32 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Tottenham Hotspur
  • Crystal Palace
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Tottenham Hotspur

1.19 xG created 1.93 xGA

  • D 2.30 created, 1.44 conceded against Burnley
  • D 0.97 created, 1.99 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.49 created, 1.79 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 1.76 created, 2.28 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 0.76 created, 1.93 conceded against Arsenal
  • L 0.88 created, 2.14 conceded against Fulham
Crystal Palace

1.47 xG created 1.31 xGA

  • L 1.88 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea
  • D 1.92 created, 0.49 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • W 1.16 created, 0.85 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 1.80 created, 0.53 conceded against Burnley
  • W 1.67 created, 1.68 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • L 0.38 created, 2.12 conceded against Manchester United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Tottenham Hotspur: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.