Wednesday, 11/02/2026 at 20:30
Full timeCrystal Palace 2:3 Burnley
Goals
- 17' Jørgen Strand Larsen Crystal Palace · 0.21 xG chance 1–0
- 33' Jørgen Strand Larsen Crystal Palace · 0.04 xG chance 2–0
- 40' Hannibal Mejbri Burnley · 0.05 xG chance 2–1
- 44' Jaidon Anthony Burnley · 0.06 xG chance 2–2
- 45' Jefferson Lerma (o.g.) Burnley · 0.10 xG chance 2–3
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 21
- 9
- On target
- 3
- 4
- Inside the box
- 15
- 4
- xG per shot
- 0.09
- 0.07
- Open play xG
- 1.29
- 0.35
- Set-piece xG
- 0.54
- 0.27
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.90 for Crystal Palace and 0.51 for Burnley.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
30 shots · 2.45 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- Crystal Palace
- Burnley
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.30 xG created 1.51 xGA
- L 0.70 created, 2.08 conceded against Newcastle United
- D 1.50 created, 1.74 conceded against Aston Villa
- L 0.61 created, 1.71 conceded against Sunderland
- L 1.88 created, 2.20 conceded against Chelsea
- D 1.92 created, 0.49 conceded against Nottingham Forest
- W 1.16 created, 0.85 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
0.62 xG created 1.99 xGA
- L 0.30 created, 1.45 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
- D 0.24 created, 2.55 conceded against Manchester United
- D 0.40 created, 3.18 conceded against Liverpool
- D 1.44 created, 2.30 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
- L 0.06 created, 1.47 conceded against Sunderland
- L 1.28 created, 1.02 conceded against West Ham United
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.