xgEdge

Tottenham Hotspur's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 2 of 2 matching results

5 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss

1 pts 0–3 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
1.63 – 4.79
0.82 – 2.40 per match
xGD
-3.16
-1.58 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 1 against them

Small sample: 2 matches.

Comparable xG: 2 of 2 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

1 pts 1.5 xPts

−0.5 vs xPts

Small sample: 2 matches.

Matched xPts: 2 of 2 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

Tottenham Hotspur's winless run carries recorded xG in only 2 of 2 results, too few to read against the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 2 results Tottenham Hotspur are 0.53 points below their xPts.

Points
1
xPts
1.53
Gap
-0.53
Sat 22/08 Sat 05/09 -1 0 +1 -0.06 -0.53 -0.06 -0.47 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Tottenham Hotspur: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 Brentford 0 0.06 -0.06 -0.06
Sat 05/09 Nottingham Forest 1 1.47 -0.47 -0.53

Scores and xG

Tottenham Hotspur first

  • Away Premier League Draw with even chances

    xG 1.06

    xGA 0.92

    xGD +0.14

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Nottingham Forest, Sat 05/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.47
    Points minus xPts
    -0.47

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Premier League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.57

    xGA 3.87

    xGD -3.30

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Brentford, Sat 22/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.06
    Points minus xPts
    -0.06

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →