xgEdge

West Ham United's recorded results for 2025/2026, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 38 matching results

38 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses

6 pts 6–8 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
6.80 – 8.22
1.36 – 1.64 per match
xGD
-1.42
-0.28 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 5.7 xPts

+0.3 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

West Ham United's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches, for −1.42 xG difference overall on 6.80–8.22. Their points total of 6 lands on the model's 5.7 xPts, so the results have followed the chances closely.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results West Ham United are 0.27 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +1.89, against Everton on Sat 25/04.

Points
6
xPts
5.73
Gap
+0.27
Sat 25/04 Sat 02/05 Sun 10/05 Sun 17/05 Sun 24/05 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.89 +1.40 +0.08 -0.68 +0.27 +1.89 -0.49 -1.32 -0.76 +0.95 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
West Ham United: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/04 Everton 3 1.11 +1.89 +1.89
Sat 02/05 Brentford 0 0.49 -0.49 +1.40
Sun 10/05 Arsenal 0 1.32 -1.32 +0.08
Sun 17/05 Newcastle United 0 0.76 -0.76 -0.68
Sun 24/05 Leeds United 3 2.05 +0.95 +0.27

Scores and xG

West Ham United first

  • Home Premier League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.61

    xGA 1.59

    xGD +1.02

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Leeds United, Sun 24/05

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.05
    Points minus xPts
    +0.95

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Premier League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.95

    xGA 1.73

    xGD -0.78

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Newcastle United, Sun 17/05

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.75
    Points minus xPts
    -0.75

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Premier League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.15

    xGA 1.18

    xGD -0.03

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Arsenal, Sun 10/05

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.32
    Points minus xPts
    -1.32

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Premier League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.92

    xGA 2.27

    xGD -1.35

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Brentford, Sat 02/05

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.49
    Points minus xPts
    -0.49

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Premier League Win against the chances

    xG 1.17

    xGA 1.45

    xGD -0.28

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Everton, Sat 25/04

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.11
    Points minus xPts
    +1.89

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Leeds United 3:0

· Home xG / xGA 2.61 – 1.59

Goal difference
+3
xGD
+1.02
GD minus xGD
+1.98

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Brentford 0:3

· Away xG / xGA 0.92 – 2.27

Goal difference
-3
xGD
-1.35
GD minus xGD
-1.65

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →