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Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Premier League

Wolverhampton 2:3 Burnley

Wolverhampton Home 2.28 xG · 15 shots
Burnley Away 1.43 xG · 11 shots
23 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 14' Zian Flemming Burnley · 0.06 xG chance 0–1
  2. 30' Zian Flemming Burnley · 0.53 xG chance 0–2
  3. 42' Jørgen Strand Larsen (pen.) Wolverhampton · 0.82 xG chance 1–2
  4. 45' Marshall Munetsi Wolverhampton · 0.51 xG chance 2–2
  5. 90' Lyle Foster Burnley · 0.36 xG chance 2–3

The shots behind it

Wolverhampton Burnley
Shots
15
11
On target
7
7
Inside the box
10
6
xG per shot
0.15
0.12
Open play xG
1.43
1.26
Set-piece xG
0.06
0.11
Penalties
1
0
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.49 for Wolverhampton and 1.40 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Wolverhampton · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 42' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 30' · Goal · 5 m · 0.53 xG Wolverhampton · Marshall Munetsi · 45' · Goal · 4 m · 0.51 xG Burnley · Lyle Foster · 90' · Goal · 13 m · 0.36 xG Wolverhampton · Jhon Arias · 7' · No goal · 1 m · 0.31 xG Wolverhampton · Rodrigo Gomes · 6' · No goal · 12 m · 0.11 xG Burnley · Lesley Ugochukwu · 25' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 56' · No goal · 14 m · 0.10 xG Wolverhampton · Marshall Munetsi · 34' · No goal · 11 m · 0.09 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 54' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Wolverhampton · Rodrigo Gomes · 83' · No goal · 11 m · 0.08 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 14' · Goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Wolverhampton · Ladislav Krejčí · 33' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Wolverhampton · Jhon Arias · 64' · No goal · 22 m · 0.06 xG Wolverhampton · Hugo Bueno · 74' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG Wolverhampton · Rodrigo Gomes · 36' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Wolverhampton · Santiago Bueno · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG Burnley · Josh Cullen · 59' · No goal · 18 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Florentino Luís · 62' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Jørgen Strand Larsen · 79' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Wolverhampton · Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · 83' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Jacob Bruun Larsen · 61' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Josh Cullen · 5' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · Jean-Ricner Bellegarde · 70' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Wolverhampton · João Gomes · 79' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Burnley · Quilindschy Hartman · 81' · No goal · 28 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

26 shots · 3.68 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Wolverhampton
  • Burnley
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Wolverhampton

0.99 xG created 1.07 xGA

  • L 1.11 created, 1.93 conceded against Everton
  • L 0.50 created, 1.55 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 1.78 created, 0.48 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 1.15 created, 0.87 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • D 0.56 created, 0.92 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 0.83 created, 0.65 conceded against Sunderland
Burnley

0.57 xG created 2.19 xGA

  • L 1.20 created, 3.54 conceded against Manchester United
  • L 0.13 created, 2.65 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 0.85 created, 1.10 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.41 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.40 created, 1.16 conceded against Aston Villa
  • W 0.45 created, 2.63 conceded against Leeds United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.