xgEdge

Expected goals

Rotor Volgograd expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Russian Premier League · after 2 matches · updated 4 Oct

Rotor Volgograd's attacking and defensive expected goals in Russian Premier League 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Rotor Volgograd xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.68 xG per match
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
1.42
Total
3.36 2 matches
Defence
1.41 xGA per match
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
1.42
Total
2.81 2 matches
xG difference
+0.28 xGD per match
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.55 2 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.53 xPts per match
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
1.38
Total
3.06 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 2 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Rotor Volgograd have created about as much as they have allowed so far, at +0.28 xG difference per match. After only 2 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
1 3.36 -2.36 Too early to read
2 2.81 -0.81 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Rotor Volgograd are 2.36 goals below their xG after 2 matches.

Goals
1
xG
3.36
Gap
-2.36
Wed 20/05 Sat 23/05 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.01 -2.36 -1.01 -1.35 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Rotor Volgograd: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Wed 20/05 Akron Togliatti 0 1.01 -1.01 -1.01
Sat 23/05 Akron Togliatti 1 2.35 -1.35 -2.36

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

The trend appears after 3 matches with xG.

Strength of schedule

Season so far
−0.48 xG vs league average
Over 2 league matches
Not ranked: a club needs 22 matches against rated opponents, and Rotor Volgograd have 2.
Last 2
−0.48 xG vs league average
Over 2 league matches
Not ranked: only 2 league matches played, and Last 5 ranks full runs of 5.
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.48 xG vs league average · over 2 matches

  1. Akron Togliatti Away −0.48
  2. Akron Togliatti Home −0.48

Last 2

−0.48 xG vs league average · over 2 matches

  1. Akron Togliatti Away −0.48
  2. Akron Togliatti Home −0.48

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Rotor Volgograd shots and chance quality

Attack

Shot volume
14.5 shots per match
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
12.2
Total
29 shots from 2 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
0.12
Total
3.36 npxG from 29 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.5 shots per match
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
12.2
Total
25 shots allowed from 2 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
Ranked from 3 matches
League avg
0.12
Total
2.81 npxGA from 25 shots

Rotor Volgograd home and away xG

Rotor Volgograd per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 1 match with xG Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 1 1
xG / match 1.01 2.35
xGA / match 1.53 1.28
xGD / match -0.52 +1.07
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.94 2.12

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Rotor Volgograd match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Rotor Volgograd in Russian Premier League

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →