Heart of Midlothian 1:0 Livingston: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 03/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian Home 2.14 xG

Livingston Away 0.61 xG

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heart of Midlothian Livingston

Shots: 17; 10
On target: 3; 2
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heart of Midlothian

1.34 xG created 1.19 xGA

D 0.41 created, 0.66 conceded against Motherwell
D 2.19 created, 1.75 conceded against Kilmarnock
W 0.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Celtic
W 1.50 created, 1.03 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 1.50 created, 0.94 conceded against Rangers
L 1.91 created, 0.88 conceded against Hibernian

Livingston

0.66 xG created 2.12 xGA

L 0.75 created, 1.12 conceded against Aberdeen
L 1.14 created, 2.74 conceded against Motherwell
D 0.69 created, 1.01 conceded against Dundee FC
L 0.06 created, 1.89 conceded against St. Mirren
L 0.88 created, 2.70 conceded against Celtic
L 0.45 created, 3.24 conceded against Dundee United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heart of Midlothian: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Livingston 1:2 Heart of Midlothian 30/08/2025 xG 0.50 – 1.33

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.