Heart of Midlothian 2:0 St. Mirren: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Wednesday, 14/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Heart of Midlothian Home 2.11 xG

St. Mirren Away 0.98 xG

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Heart of Midlothian St. Mirren

Shots: 14; 14
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 10; 10
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heart of Midlothian

1.30 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 0.50 created, 1.86 conceded against Celtic
W 1.50 created, 1.03 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 1.50 created, 0.94 conceded against Rangers
L 1.91 created, 0.88 conceded against Hibernian
W 2.14 created, 0.61 conceded against Livingston
W 0.24 created, 1.55 conceded against Dundee FC

St. Mirren

1.46 xG created 0.90 xGA

W 2.01 created, 0.53 conceded against Dundee United
W 1.89 created, 0.06 conceded against Livingston
D 1.96 created, 0.52 conceded against Kilmarnock
L 1.68 created, 1.89 conceded against Rangers
L 0.52 created, 1.76 conceded against Motherwell
L 0.70 created, 0.67 conceded against Falkirk FC

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heart of Midlothian: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

St. Mirren 2:2 Heart of Midlothian 29/10/2025 xG 1.01 – 1.57

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.