Kilmarnock 1:0 Heart of Midlothian: xG & match report · Scottish Premiership

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock Home 1.12 xG

Heart of Midlothian Away 0.80 xG

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Kilmarnock Heart of Midlothian

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 7; 11
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Kilmarnock

1.39 xG created 2.24 xGA

W 2.45 created, 0.66 conceded against Aberdeen
L 1.35 created, 2.84 conceded against Rangers
W 2.70 created, 1.88 conceded against St. Mirren
L 0.94 created, 2.89 conceded against Celtic
D 0.56 created, 1.95 conceded against Dundee United
L 0.31 created, 3.22 conceded against Falkirk FC

Heart of Midlothian

1.39 xG created 0.99 xGA

W 4.24 created, 0.18 conceded against Dundee United
L 0.25 created, 2.12 conceded against St. Mirren
W 0.66 created, 0.41 conceded against Hibernian
L 0.35 created, 2.41 conceded against Rangers
W 1.13 created, 0.44 conceded against Falkirk FC
W 1.69 created, 0.36 conceded against Aberdeen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Kilmarnock: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.