Bologna 2:0 Lecce: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 12/04/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Bologna Home 2.16 xG · 12 shots

Lecce Away 0.32 xG · 6 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

26' Remo Freuler Bologna · 0.80 xG chance 1–0
90' Riccardo Orsolini Bologna · 0.26 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Bologna Lecce

Shots: 12; 6
On target: 4; 1
Inside the box: 9; 2
xG per shot: 0.20; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.72; 0.24
Set-piece xG: 0.66; 0.09
Penalties: —; —

Bologna's shots add up to 2.38 xG and Lecce's to 0.33; the published figures are 2.16 and 0.32.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.71 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Bologna
Lecce
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Bologna

1.05 xG created 1.09 xGA

W 1.27 created, 0.56 conceded against Udinese
W 0.61 created, 0.46 conceded against Pisa
L 1.28 created, 1.98 conceded against Hellas Verona
W 0.70 created, 0.54 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.35 created, 1.60 conceded against Lazio
W 1.11 created, 1.42 conceded against Cremonese

Lecce

0.69 xG created 1.70 xGA

L 0.12 created, 2.15 conceded against Inter
L 0.24 created, 2.77 conceded against Como
W 1.60 created, 0.96 conceded against Cremonese
L 0.76 created, 1.30 conceded against Napoli
L 1.08 created, 0.84 conceded against Roma
L 0.33 created, 2.20 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Bologna: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Lecce 2:2 Bologna 28/09/2025 xG 1.80 – 1.37

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.